UFC 196 Betting Preview

When lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos pulled out of his next title defense against Connor McGregor 12 days before the series, the UFC had options galore.
You see, just as the featherweight kingpin will inform you, any card headlined by the Dubliner will be a profitable bonanza. The marketing first offered the fight to Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar, but answered the call.
Edgar had been dealing with a groin injury that had prevented him from training for the several previous weeks, while Aldo’s coach said he was not in good enough shape conditioning-wise to take the battle on such short notice.
Former 155-pound champ Anthony Pettis was one fighter volunteering his services, linking the likes of Urijah Faber and Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone. Even B.J. Penn wanted a shot McGregor.
Nate Diaz was also more than willing when contacted by the UFC. Dana White let the rumors to hang in the air for many hours before determining that the attention from fans was best to get a Diaz-McGregor showdown.
McGregor had told the UFC he would fight anybody on the roster at any given weight. When Diaz’s camp indicated that getting down to 155 on brief note was too much, the UFC countered with a catchweight offer of 160 lbs. Diaz countered with 165.
When the UFC called’The Notorious,”’ he said let’s just take action at 170. Thus, tonight’s key event for UFC 196 in the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas is a five-rounder contested at welterweight. McGregor, the 145-pound champ, is moving up two weight classes.
Ad Most books opened McGregor (19-2 MMA, 7-0 UFC) at approximately -300, but the odds are becoming more expensive with every passing day. As of Thursday afternoon, most spots had McGregor favored from the -450 to -500 range. Diaz was approximately +380 about the comeback (risk $100 to win $380).
Now that we’ve arrived at combat day, most places have McGregor at -500 or higher. The very best payout for Diaz offshore is in 5Dimes, which includes him +425.
The complete for’over/under’ wagers is 2.5 rounds (-200 to the’under,’ +165’over’). For all those gamblers wanting to shave off some of those’chalk’ yet still back McGregor, the prop for him to triumph within the distance doesn’t offer much help (-278 in 5Dimes).
If you want to take McGregor’s information he’ll dust Diaz from the opening round, that brace provides a +170 return. If you believe the pride of Ireland will make quick work of Diaz, much like his 13-second demolition of Aldo, there’s a brace at 5Dimes that the fight will not go 1:01 that supplies a lucrative +550 return.
For McGregor to win by TKO/KO (in any form ), the price is -275 (danger $275 to win $100). We should notice that Diaz has never been finished in the first round in 28 professional bouts.
In reality, Diaz (18-10 MMA, 13-8 UFC) has only been finished twice. He was submitted by Hermes Franca at WEC 24 in the next round, and the 209 product suffered his sole livelihood TKO loss to Josh’The Punk’ Thomson in the second round of their April 2013 showdown. (Diaz’s corner threw in the towel)

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